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  • Nov 16, 2015 tech 

    The End of the PC? On Intel’s Apple and ARM problems

    apple-iphone-6s-live-_0752.0Tim Cook has been running around heralding the end of the PC. A self-serving assessment, but Intel and the PC ecosystem are going to struggle to maintain their traditional relevance. In this post, I will look at 1) the narrowing Intel/ARM performance gap, and 2) what the ‘end of the PC’ might look like.

  • Oct 10, 2015 economics 

    Is China’s sale of Treasurys ‘quantitative tightening’ for the US?

    There’s this notion going around that since the Fed buying Treasurys was QE, therefore China selling Treasurys constitutes monetary tightening. Nope. The root cause of the disequilibrium and resulting capital flows is capital flight from China to the US.

  • Sep 28, 2015 investing 

    The tontine: funny French name, brilliant idea

    A hard problem in retirement planning is a safe spending rate, so you don’t outlive your money.

  • Sep 5, 2015 politics 

    God help us

    A rant on politics for a Labor Day weekend.

  • Aug 30, 2015 investing 

    Smart Beta: Maybe Smart, But Definitely Not Beta

    A donut with no hole, is a danish. Ty Webb

  • Aug 11, 2015 poker 

    The Mathematics of Bluffing

    A quick post about poker! That seemingly simple, deceptively complex game with a number of interesting parallels to investing. I just watched the MIT lectures on ‘Poker Theory and Analytics,’ an ‘Independent Activities Period’ mini-course, and for our mutual amusement, I worked through the math on bluffing, which is an interesting problem I had never done the full deep dive into. Here it is, including a Mathematica notebook.

  • Jul 18, 2015 euro 

    Through the Looking Glass

    Curiouser and curiouser! — Alice in Wonderland. Having written about Greece the last couple of weeks, why stop now?

  • Jul 11, 2015 euro 

    The Garbage Fire That is Greece

    So, last week I said, Greece was getting booted out of the eurozone.

  • Jul 3, 2015 euro 

    4 blinding glimpses of the obvious on Greece

    More than any time in history mankind faces a crossroads. One path leads to despair and utter hopelessness, the other to total extinction. Let us pray that we have the wisdom to choose correctly. — Woody Allen

  • May 16, 2015 politics 

    Why does everyone hate libertarians?

    Rightful liberty is unobstructed action according to our will within limits drawn around us by the equal rights of others. Thomas Jefferson

  • May 9, 2015

    Don’t feed the trolls

    There will always be those who mean to do us harm. To stop them, we risk awakening the same evil within ourselves. — James T. Kirk_

  • Apr 26, 2015 economics 

    Are food stamps Walmart subsidies, and should the minimum wage be $15?

    There are a thousand hacking at the branches of evil to one that is striking at the root, and it may be that he who bestows the largest amount of time and money on the needy is doing the most by his mode of life to produce that misery which he strives in vain to relieve. – Henry David Thoreau

  • Apr 20, 2015

    The Top 100 People To Follow On Twitter For Financial News

    A couple of days ago I posted Mapping the Financial / Media Twittersphere, an illustration of the Twitter accounts that are most central for financial news.

  • Apr 17, 2015 fintwit 

    Mapping the Financial / Media Twittersphere

    The good folks at Captain Economics did a great post a couple of weeks back on ‘The Economics Twitosphere Top 100 Influential Users’.

  • Apr 12, 2015 economics 

    Why Are There Recessions And Business Cycles?

    To everything, turn, turn, turn. There is a season, turn, turn, turn. And a time to every purpose under heaven. The Byrds, by way of Ecclesiastes

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